Firm size and stock returns: Evidence of the Flight-to-Quality effect in the Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange

Tóm tắt

This study examines the causal relationship between firm size and stock returns and how this relationship was altered by the unprecedented shock of the COVID-19 pandemic. Employing a fixed-effects model with clustered standard errors, the results confirm a strong negative association between firm size and stock returns, consistent with the conventional size effect. However, the interaction between firm size and a COVID-19 dummy variable is significantly positive, indicating that the pandemic attenuated the negative size–return relationship, in line with the Flight-to-Quality mechanism. These findings provide new empirical evidence on investor behavior and risk pricing dynamics in the periods before and after the COVID-19 shock.

Từ khóa
firm size stock returns COVID-19 Flight-to-Quality HOSE

Tài liệu tham khảo

1.
Amihud, Yakov & Haim Mendelson (1986). Asset Pricing and the Bid-Ask Spread. Journal of Financial Economics 17(2), 223-249. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(86)90065-6.
2.
Anh, D. L. T., & Gan, C. (2021). The impact of the COVID-19 lockdown on stock market performance: Evidence from Vietnam. Journal of Economic Studies, 48(4), 836-851. https://doi.org/10.1108/JES-06-2020-0312
3.
Baker, S.R., Bloom, N., Davis, S.J., Kost, K., Sammon, M. and Viratyosin, T. (2020). The Unprecedented Stock Market Reaction to COVID-19. The Review of Asset Pricing Studies, 10(4), 742-758. https://doi.org/10.1093/rapstu/raaa008.
4.
Banz, Rolf W. (1981). The Relationship between Return and Market Value of Common Stocks. Journal of Financial Economics, 1, 3-18. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(81)90018-0.
5.
Baur, D. G., & McDermott, T. K. (2010). Is gold a safe haven? International evidence. Journal of Banking & Finance, 34(8), 1886-1898. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2009.12.008
6.
Bhandari, L. C. (1988). Debt/Equity Ratio and Expected Common Stock Returns: Empirical Evidence. The Journal of Finance, 43(2), 507-528. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1988.tb03952.x
7.
Caballero, Ricardo J., and Arvind Krishnamurthy (2008). Collective Risk Management in a Flight to Quality Episode. The Journal of Finance, 63(5), 2195-230. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.2008.01394.x.
8.
Ding, W., Levine, R., Lin, C., & Xie, W. (2021). Corporate immunity to the COVID-19 pandemic. Journal of Financial Economics, 141(2), 802-830. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2021.03.005
9.
Fama, Eugene F., and Kenneth R. French (1993). Common Risk Factors in the Returns on Stocks and Bonds. Journal of Financial Economics, 33(1), 3-56. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(93)90023-5.
10.
Fama, Eugene F., & Kenneth R. French (1992). The Cross‐Section of Expected Stock Returns. The Journal of Finance, 47(2), 427-465. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1992.tb04398.x.
11.
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (2015). A five-factor asset pricing model. Journal of Financial Economics, 116(1), 1-22. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2014.10.010 Lakonishok, J., Shleifer, A., & Vishny, R. W. (1994). Contrarian Investment, Extrapolation, and Risk. The Journal of Finance, 49(5), 1541-1578. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1994.tb04772.x
12.
Huynh, Toan Luu Duc, Matteo Foglia, Muhammad Ali Nasir, and Eliana Angelini (2021). Feverish Sentiment and Global Equity Markets during the COVID-19 Pandemic. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 188, 1088-1108. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2021.06.016.
13.
Ramelli, Stefano, and Alexander F. Wagner (2020). Feverish Stock Price Reactions to COVID-19*. The Review of Corporate Finance Studies, 9(3), 622-655. https://doi.org/10.1093/rcfs/cfaa012.
14.
Reinganum, Marc R (1981). Misspecification of Capital Asset Pricing. Journal of Financial Economics, 9(1), 19-46. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(81)90019-2.
15.
Titman, S., & Wessels, R. (1988). The Determinants of Capital Structure Choice. The Journal of Finance, 43(1), 1-19. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1988.tb02585.x
16.
Zhang, D., Hu, M., & Ji, Q. (2020). Financial markets under the global pandemic of COVID-19. Finance Research Letters, 36, 101528.